Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Size Market

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Size by Type (Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), and Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS)), End-User (Residential, Commercial and Utility), Regions, Global Industry Analysis, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast 2024 to 2033

Base Year: 2023 Historical Data: 2020-22
  • Report ID: TBI-14520
  • Published Date: Aug, 2024
  • Pages: 236
  • Category: Information Technology & Semiconductors
  • Format: PDF
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The global thin-film photovoltaic market was valued at USD 12 billion in 2023 and grew at a CAGR of 10% from 2024 to 2033. The market is expected to reach USD 31.12 billion by 2033. The increasing demand for renewable energy sources like solar energy will drive the growth of the global thin-film photovoltaic market.

Market Introduction:

Thin-film photovoltaics are used in solar technology. they are extremely thin films which efficiently convert collar energy into electricity. cadmium telluride (CdTe), amorphous silicon (a-Si), or copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) are used in thin-film photovoltaic instead of the conventional materials. The thin layers are flexible and light unlike the conventional materials that are rigid and brittle. Additionally, manufacturing thin-film photovoltaic is cost-effective which reflects in the final price of energy derived from solar energy making it a cheaper and attractive alternative in the market. thin-film photovoltaic provide enhanced performance in non-ideal conditions as well. they are ideal for use in buildings given their light and flexible nature. They can be integrated into building materials and energy systems of buildings, making them an attractive renewable energy source. they are also ideal for use in portable solar devices and equipment. Continued technological advancements and innovations are making thin-film photovoltaics a more efficient, effective and cost-effective technology.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Size

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Recent Development
  • First Solar Inc., a US-based maker of thin-film solar modules, received an order to deliver 547 MW of its modules for various projects throughout the country. Birch Creek Energy, a solar and storage project developer based in St. Louis, Missouri, was the one to win the supply contract. In upcoming US projects, Birch Creek will make use of First Solar's Series 6 Plus Bifacial thin-film solar modules.

Market Dynamics:

Drivers

Technological advancements – The increasing demand for renewable energy in the face of depleting non-renewable energy sources and climate change crisis has increased research and development efforts towards development more efficient and cost-effective renewable energy sources. Solar energy is one such source that is present in abundance. The growing research and development expenditure to develop better technologies, like thin-film photovoltaics, to efficiently convert solar energy to electricity will drive the market’s growth. for instance, product developments and innovations in materials like copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) and cadmium telluride (CdTe) to enhance the energy efficiency during conversion translates to affordable soar energy prices. Similarly, advancements in manufacturing processes, streamlined production processes, and components of thin-film photovoltaics all contribute to the market’s growth and development during the forecast period. These advancements have improved the durability and longevity of thin-film photovoltaics along with enhancing its flexibility. therefore, the technological advancements will drive the global thin-film photovoltaic market’s growth.

Restraints:

Manufacturing challenges Manufacturing thin-film photovoltaics is a complex and expensive process. It requires specialized materials, equipment and manufacturing processes that are expensive and highly sophisticated. Additionally, the manufacturing process needs to be performed under controlled environment which also increases costs. the initial costs of installing machinery and equipment are significantly high. The maintenance costs further add to the expenses. Precision handling of materials and equipment is complicated which adds to the challenges. The regulatory compliance is complex and adds to the costs and challenges for the manufacturers as well. the constant upgrades to improve efficiency and performance of thin-film photovoltaics also makes the manufacturing process more challenging. Therefore, the high costs and manufacturing challenges will hamper the market’s growth.

Opportunities:

Favourable regulatory environment – the growing emphasis on adopting renewable energy sources to combat climate change and reduce environmental degradation has led to regulatory changes that are favourable for the global thin-film photovoltaic market. the favourable government regulations with subsidies, incentives and supportive programs encouraging research and development, product innovations and adoption of solar energy will contribute to the global thin-film photovoltaic market’s growth. government’s supportive regulatory environment and funding initiatives are encouraging collaborations and partnerships that are advancing thin-film photovoltaics for efficient solar energy conversion. These favourable regulatory changes are also encouraging private investments and efforts towards developing better technologies facilitating reduction in solar energy prices, making it an attractive energy option in the market. therefore, favourable regulatory environment will contribute to the future development of the global thin-film photovoltaic market.

  • Midsummer, a Swedish firm, began operations at its Puglia, Italy, factory. It is anticipated that the facility will generate 50 MW of thin film solar cells annually. Italy's national agency for inward investment and economic development, Invitalia, is supporting the new fab.
Regional segmentation analysis:

The regions analysed for the market include North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. Asia Pacific emerged as the most significant global thin-film photovoltaic market, with a 40% market revenue share in 2023.

The developing economies of the region like India and China have well-established manufacturing units with low production costs given cheaper labour and raw materials, making it a supply hub of the global market and contributing to its dominance in the global thin-film photovoltaic market. the favourable government regulations and supportive infrastructure are encouraging the adoption of solar energy, thereby augmenting the market’s growth. Similar private investment in solar energy advancements also contribute to the market’s growth. the presence of significant market players along with international and regional associations like the International Solar Alliance also augment the market’s growth.

Asia Pacific Region Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Share in 2023 - 40%

 

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  • A kesterite (CZTSSe) solar cell with a maximum power conversion efficiency of 14.6% and a validated efficiency of 14.2% was created by a team of researchers under the direction of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). One of the most promising options for light absorber materials is kesterite, which may find application in less expensive thin-film solar cells. Common elements including copper, tin, zinc, and selenium are found in keterites. To prevent the development of profound faults in the CZTSSe absorber, the Chinese research team used a method they called kinetics-based. The gadget's power conversion efficiency during testing under typical lighting settings was 14.6%.
Type Segment Analysis

The type segment is divided into cadmium telluride (CdTe), amorphous silicon (a-Si), and copper indium gallium diselenide (CIGS). The cadmium telluride (CdTe) segment dominated the market, with a market share of around 42% in 2023. Cadmium telluride (CdTe) is composed of cadmium and tellurium. They are infused in a 1:1 ratio. They are highly effective and cost-efficient making them a desirable option for solar energy conversion. They are preferred by manufacturers given their low manufacturing costs. the low production costs facilitate scalability as well as low retail costs making solar energy an affordable option for majority. Additionally, CdTe makes solar energy conversion a highly efficient processes even in less ideal or challenging conditions. Therefore, the low-cost production, scalability, high-efficiency and versatility make it the dominant type in the global thin-film photovoltaic market.

  • First Solar, a well-known solar manufacturer, and ZSW Research Institute announced a collaboration to create novel thin-film solar PV technology.  ZSW is a research institute based in Stuttgart, Germany that has developed thin-film solar technology using copper, indium, gallium, and diselenide over the course of three decades. First Solar, meantime, is a significant participant in thin-film solar PV technology. It has production sites in Ohio and California, and another is scheduled to open in the US southeast in 2025. 
End user Segment Analysis

The end user segment is divided into residential, commercial and utility. The commercial segment dominated the market, with a market share of around 43% in 2023. Thin film photovoltaics are preferred over traditional silicon-based films by commercial users given its cost effectiveness and easy installation and maintenance processes. Commercial users receive subsidies and incentives from governments for adopting solar energy which makes them a dominant user in the market. commercial stakeholders are also becoming more climate-conscious driving their demand for thin-film photovoltaic. Furthermore, consumers also encourage commercial users to adopt renewable energy sources through their conscious buying efforts.

  • Researchers at the University of Oxford have made significant advances in solar photovoltaic technology using an ultra-thin material that can be installed on "almost any building" and has a conversion efficiency of over 27%. The new thin-film perovskite material from Oxford University uses a multi-junction technique that the scientists have described as a way to create growing amounts of solar electricity without requiring silicon-based solar panels. By stacking several light-absorbing layers onto a single solar cell, the method increases the amount of power that can be produced from a given amount of sunshine by using a wider spectrum of light.
Some of the Key Market Players:
  • Ascent Solar Technologies
  • AVANCIS GmbH
  • First Solar
  • Hanwha Q CELLS
  • JA Solar Technology Co. Ltd
  • Kaneka Corporation
  • MiaSole
  • Oxford PV
  • Sharp Corporation
  • Solbian

Report Description: 

Attribute Description
Market Size Revenue (USD Billion)
Market size value in 2023 USD 12 Billion
Market size value in 2033 USD 31.12 Billion
CAGR (2024 to 2033) 10%
Historical data 2020-2022
Base Year 2023
Forecast 2024-2033
Region The regions analysed for the market are Asia Pacific, Europe, South America, North America, and Middle East and Africa. Furthermore, the regions are further analysed at the country level.
Segments Type and End User

Frequesntly Asked Questions

As per The Brainy Insights, the size of the global thin-film photovoltaic market was valued at USD 12 billion in 2023 to USD 31.12 billion by 2033.

Global thin-film photovoltaic market is growing at a CAGR of 10% during the forecast period 2024-2033.

The market's growth will be influenced by technological advancements.

Manufacturing challenges could hamper the market growth.

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This study forecasts revenue at global, regional, and country levels from 2020 to 2033. The Brainy Insights has segmented the global thin-film photovoltaic market based on below mentioned segments:

Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Type:

  • Cadmium Telluride (CdTe)
  • Amorphous Silicon (a-Si)
  • Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS)

Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End User:

  • Residential
  • Commercial
  • Utility

Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region:

  • North America
    • U.S.
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • U.K.
    • Italy
    • Spain
  • Asia-Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
  • South America
    • Brazil
  • Middle East and Africa  
    • UAE
    • South Africa

Methodology

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Our research reports feature both; quantitative and qualitative aspects for any market. Qualitative information for any market research process are fundamental because they reveal the customer needs and wants, usage and consumption for any product/service related to a specific industry. This in turn aids the marketers/investors in knowing certain perceptions of the customers. Qualitative research can enlighten about the different product concepts and designs along with unique service offering that in turn, helps define marketing problems and generate opportunities. On the other hand, quantitative research engages with the data collection process through interviews, e-mail interactions, surveys and pilot studies. Quantitative aspects for the market research are useful to validate the hypotheses generated during qualitative research method, explore empirical patterns in the data with the help of statistical tools, and finally make the market estimations.

The Brainy Insights offers comprehensive research and analysis, based on a wide assortment of factual insights gained through interviews with CXOs and global experts and secondary data from reliable sources. Our analysts and industry specialist assume vital roles in building up statistical tools and analysis models, which are used to analyse the data and arrive at accurate insights with exceedingly informative research discoveries. The data provided by our organization have proven precious to a diverse range of companies, facilitating them to address issues such as determining which products/services are the most appealing, whether or not customers use the product in the manner anticipated, the purchasing intentions of the market and many others.

Our research methodology encompasses an idyllic combination of primary and secondary initiatives. Key phases involved in this process are listed below:

MARKET RESEARCH PROCESS

Data Procurement:

The phase involves the gathering and collecting of market data and its related information with the help of different sources & research procedures.

The data procurement stage involves in data gathering and collecting through various data sources.

This stage involves in extensive research. These data sources includes:

Purchased Database: Purchased databases play a crucial role in estimating the market sizes irrespective of the domain. Our purchased database includes:

  • The organizational databases such as D&B Hoovers, and Bloomberg that helps us to identify the competitive scenario of the key market players/organizations along with the financial information.
  • Industry/Market databases such as Statista, and Factiva provides market/industry insights and deduce certain formulations. 
  • We also have contractual agreements with various reputed data providers and third party vendors who provide information which are not limited to:
    • Import & Export Data
    • Business Trade Information
    • Usage rates of a particular product/service on certain demographics mainly focusing on the unmet prerequisites

Primary Research: The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. Primary research mainly involves in telephonic interviews, E-mail interactions and face-to-face interviews with the raw material providers, manufacturers/producers, distributors, & independent consultants. The interviews that we conduct provides valuable data on market size and industry growth trends prevailing in the market. Our organization also conducts surveys with the various industry experts in order to gain overall insights of the industry/market. For instance, in healthcare industry we conduct surveys with the pharmacists, doctors, surgeons and nurses in order to gain insights and key information of a medical product/device/equipment which the customers are going to usage. Surveys are conducted in the form of questionnaire designed by our own analyst team. Surveys plays an important role in primary research because surveys helps us to identify the key target audiences of the market. Additionally, surveys helps to identify the key target audience engaged with the market. Our survey team conducts the survey by targeting the key audience, thus gaining insights from them. Based on the perspectives of the customers, this information is utilized to formulate market strategies. Moreover, market surveys helps us to understand the current competitive situation of the industry. To be precise, our survey process typically involve with the 360 analysis of the market. This analytical process begins by identifying the prospective customers for a product or service related to the market/industry to obtain data on how a product/service could fit into customers’ lives.

Secondary Research: The secondary data sources includes information published by the on-profit organizations such as World bank, WHO, company fillings, investor presentations, annual reports, national government documents, statistical databases, blogs, articles, white papers and others. From the annual report, we analyse a company’s revenue to understand the key segment and market share of that organization in a particular region. We analyse the company websites and adopt the product mapping technique which is important for deriving the segment revenue. In the product mapping method, we select and categorize the products offered by the companies catering to domain specific market, deduce the product revenue for each of the companies so as to get overall estimation of the market size. We also source data and analyses trends based on information received from supply side and demand side intermediaries in the value chain. The supply side denotes the data gathered from supplier, distributor, wholesaler and the demand side illustrates the data gathered from the end customers for respective market domain.

The supply side for a domain specific market is analysed by:

  • Estimating and projecting penetration rates through analysing product attributes, availability of internal and external substitutes, followed by pricing analysis of the product.
  • Experiential assessment of year-on-year sales of the product by conducting interviews.

The demand side for the market is estimated through:

  • Evaluating the penetration level and usage rates of the product.
  • Referring to the historical data to determine the growth rate and evaluate the industry trends

In-house Library: Apart from these third-party sources, we have our in-house library of qualitative and quantitative information. Our in-house database includes market data for various industry and domains. These data are updated on regular basis as per the changing market scenario. Our library includes, historic databases, internal audit reports and archives.

Sometimes there are instances where there is no metadata or raw data available for any domain specific market. For those cases, we use our expertise to forecast and estimate the market size in order to generate comprehensive data sets. Our analyst team adopt a robust research technique in order to produce the estimates:

  • Applying demographic along with psychographic segmentation for market evaluation
  • Determining the Micro and Macro-economic indicators for each region 
  • Examining the industry indicators prevailing in the market. 

Data Synthesis: This stage involves the analysis & mapping of all the information obtained from the previous step. It also involves in scrutinizing the data for any discrepancy observed while data gathering related to the market. The data is collected with consideration to the heterogeneity of sources. Robust scientific techniques are in place for synthesizing disparate data sets and provide the essential contextual information that can orient market strategies. The Brainy Insights has extensive experience in data synthesis where the data passes through various stages:

  • Data Screening: Data screening is the process of scrutinising data/information collected from primary research for errors and amending those collected data before data integration method. The screening involves in examining raw data, identifying errors and dealing with missing data. The purpose of the data screening is to ensure data is correctly entered or not. The Brainy Insights employs objective and systematic data screening grades involving repeated cycles of quality checks, screening and suspect analysis.
  • Data Integration: Integrating multiple data streams is necessary to produce research studies that provide in-depth picture to the clients. These data streams come from multiple research studies and our in house database. After screening of the data, our analysts conduct creative integration of data sets, optimizing connections between integrated surveys and syndicated data sources. There are mainly 2 research approaches that we follow in order to integrate our data; top down approach and bottom up approach.

Market Deduction & Formulation: The final stage comprises of assigning data points at appropriate market spaces so as to deduce feasible conclusions. Analyst perspective & subject matter expert based holistic form of market sizing coupled with industry analysis also plays a crucial role in this stage.

This stage involves in finalization of the market size and numbers that we have collected from data integration step. With data interpolation, it is made sure that there is no gap in the market data. Successful trend analysis is done by our analysts using extrapolation techniques, which provide the best possible forecasts for the market.

Data Validation & Market Feedback: Validation is the most important step in the process. Validation & re-validation via an intricately designed process helps us finalize data-points to be used for final calculations.

The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. The data validation interview and discussion panels are typically composed of the most experienced industry members. The participants include, however, are not limited to:

  • CXOs and VPs of leading companies’ specific to sector
  • Purchasing managers, technical personnel, end-users
  • Key opinion leaders such as investment bankers, and industry consultants

Moreover, we always validate our data and findings through primary respondents from all the major regions we are working on.

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